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Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaThu, 21 May 2026

Independiente Petrolero

WLDWW

Thu, 21 May 202601:00

0 : 3

Full time

Botafogo

1st in table · 16 pts

LDWLL

Pre-match win probability

7.3%Independiente Petrolero13.6%Draw79.1%Botafogo

Our prediction

Botafogo

Botafogo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.2
Confidence79.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Petrolero 7.3%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Botafogo 79.1%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
Goals scored (avg)
1.90.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.6
Wins
–5
Played
–6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente Petrolero6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctIndependiente Petrolero4 – 2ABBW
  • 21 OctIndependiente Petrolero4 – 0AuroraW
  • 18 OctBlooming0 – 0Independiente PetroleroD
  • 12 OctAlways Ready2 – 0Independiente PetroleroL
  • 7 OctIndependiente Petrolero1 – 0Gualberto Villarroel SJW
Botafogo2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 29 OctRemo2 – 1BotafogoL
  • 24 OctInternacional3 – 0BotafogoL
  • 17 OctBotafogo1 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 12 OctCoritiba1 – 1BotafogoD
  • 8 OctBotafogo1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
H2H
Head to headIndependiente Petrolero 0W · 0D · Botafogo 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 28 AprBotafogo3 – 0Independiente Petrolero

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X18.8%
X281.2%

Match result

Independiente Petrolero13
Draw7
Botafogo1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance18.8%
Odds4.5

X2

Chance81.2%
Odds1.04

Independiente Petrolero

Chance7.3%
Odds13

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Botafogo

Chance79.1%
Odds1.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Botafogo at 1.2

Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
Recent form68%32%
Attack70%30%
Defence56%44%
Goals model70%30%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall8%92%

Trends

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Independiente Petrolero scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Independiente Petrolero conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu, 21 May 2026

Independiente Petrolero meet Botafogo in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Botafogo at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 21 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Petrolero vs Botafogo?

Botafogo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.