Gremio vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 23 May 2026

Gremio

WDWLW

Sat, 23 May 202623:00

3 : 2

Live

Santos

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Gremio29.7%Draw27.1%Santos

Our prediction

1X · Gremio

Gremio vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 43.2%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Santos 27.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GremioSantos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Gremio2.2
Draw3.2
Santos3.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Gremio

Chance43.2%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Santos

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.28

GremioSantos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Gremio vs Santos: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 23 May 2026

Gremio meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 23 May 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Santos?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Santos?

Gremio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gremio vs Santos prediction, H2H and stats