Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 23 May 2026

Sao Paulo

Sat, 23 May 202621:00

1 : 1

Full time

Botafogo

Pre-match win probability

54.8%Sao Paulo25.3%Draw20%Botafogo

Our prediction

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence54.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 54.8%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Botafogo 20%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloBotafogo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals12.9% · 1.8512.2% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Sao Paulo1.73
Draw3.75
Botafogo4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Sao Paulo

Chance54.8%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Botafogo

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sao Paulo at 1.73

Sao PauloBotafogo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 23 May 2026

Sao Paulo meet Botafogo in the Brazil, Serie A on 23 May 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo prediction, H2H and stats