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Grobiņa vs Riga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaMon, 26 Oct 2026

Grobiņa

8th in table · 29 pts

LDDLW

Mon, 26 Oct 202617:00

2 : 5

Full time

Riga

2nd in table · 82 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

8.3%Grobiņa14.6%Draw77.2%Riga

Our prediction

Away · Grobiņa

Grobiņa vs Riga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence77.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Grobiņa 8.3%
  • Draw 14.6%
  • Riga 77.2%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GrobiņaRiga
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
20.8
Wins
625
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Grobiņa2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 17 OctGrobiņa3 – 2Ogre UnitedW
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 12 SeptGrobiņa0 – 0FS JelgavaD
  • 6 SeptAuda1 – 0GrobiņaL
Riga5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaW
  • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaW
H2H
Head to headGrobiņa 0W · 1D · Riga 8W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 2 AugRiga4 – 0Grobiņa
  • 29 MayRiga2 – 0Grobiņa
  • 18 AprGrobiņa0 – 3Riga
  • 2 NovGrobiņa1 – 1Riga
  • 10 AugRiga2 – 0Grobiņa
  • 14 JunGrobiņa0 – 2Riga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.5% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.4% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X21.5%
X278.5%

Match result

Grobiņa11
Draw6.25
Riga1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance21.5%
Odds3.75

X2

Chance78.5%
Odds1.03

Grobiņa

Chance8.3%
Odds11

Draw

Chance14.6%
Odds6.25

Riga

Chance77.2%
Odds1.18

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.18

GrobiņaRiga
Recent form30%70%
Attack44%56%
Defence31%69%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head6%94%
Overall10%90%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Grobiņa scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Grobiņa conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Grobiņa vs Riga: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 26 Oct 2026

Grobiņa meet Riga in the Latvia, Virsliga on 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Grobiņa vs Riga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Grobiņa vs Riga?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 26 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Grobiņa vs Riga?

Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.