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Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Guarany de Bagé

Mon, 16 Feb 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

Inter Santa Maria

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Guarany de Bagé32.3%Draw30.1%Inter Santa Maria

Our prediction

Guarany de Bagé

Guarany de Bagé is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guarany de Bagé 37.6%
  • Draw 32.3%
  • Inter Santa Maria 30.1%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Guarany de BagéInter Santa Maria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X53%
X247%

Match result

Guarany de Bagé2.4
Draw2.8
Inter Santa Maria3

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance53%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance47%
Odds1.5

Guarany de Bagé

Chance37.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance32.3%
Odds2.8

Inter Santa Maria

Chance30.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Guarany de Bagé at 2.4

Guarany de BagéInter Santa Maria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Guarany de Bagé meet Inter Santa Maria in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 16 February 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guarany de Bagé at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria?

Guarany de Bagé is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Guarany de Bagé vs Inter Santa Maria prediction, H2H and stats