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São Luiz vs Caxias Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Mon, 16 Feb 2026

São Luiz

Mon, 16 Feb 202623:00

1 : 2

Live

Caxias

Pre-match win probability

35.8%São Luiz31.1%Draw33.1%Caxias

Our prediction

São Luiz

São Luiz is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence35.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • São Luiz 35.8%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Caxias 33.1%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

São LuizCaxias

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

São Luiz2.5
Draw2.88
Caxias2.7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

São Luiz

Chance35.8%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Caxias

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: São Luiz at 2.5

São LuizCaxias
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

São Luiz vs Caxias: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

São Luiz meet Caxias in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 16 February 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is São Luiz at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

São Luiz vs Caxias FAQs

4 questions

What time is São Luiz vs Caxias?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on São Luiz vs Caxias?

São Luiz is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

São Luiz vs Caxias prediction, H2H and stats