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HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia · CupWed, 4 Mar 2026

HNK Rijeka

Wed, 4 Mar 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

HNK Hajduk Split

Pre-match win probability

33.7%HNK Rijeka31.4%Draw35%HNK Hajduk Split

Our prediction

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence35%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • HNK Rijeka 33.7%
  • Draw 31.4%
  • HNK Hajduk Split 35%

Season statistics

Cup · highlighted side is stronger

HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

HNK Rijeka2.7
Draw2.9
HNK Hajduk Split2.6

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

HNK Rijeka

Chance33.7%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance31.4%
Odds2.9

HNK Hajduk Split

Chance35%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: HNK Hajduk Split at 2.6

HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction & preview

Croatia · Cup · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

HNK Rijeka meet HNK Hajduk Split in the Croatia, Cup on 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Hajduk Split at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split FAQs

4 questions

What time is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

HNK Hajduk Split is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 35%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction, H2H and stats