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NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Croatia · CupWed, 4 Mar 2026

NK Varazdin

Wed, 4 Mar 202617:00

1 : 3

Full time

HNK Gorica

Pre-match win probability

30.8%NK Varazdin27.2%Draw42%HNK Gorica

Our prediction

HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • NK Varazdin 30.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • HNK Gorica 42%

Season statistics

Cup · highlighted side is stronger

NK VarazdinHNK Gorica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

NK Varazdin3
Draw3.4
HNK Gorica2.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

NK Varazdin

Chance30.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.4

HNK Gorica

Chance42%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: HNK Gorica at 2.2

NK VarazdinHNK Gorica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica: prediction & preview

Croatia · Cup · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

NK Varazdin meet HNK Gorica in the Croatia, Cup on 4 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is HNK Gorica at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica FAQs

4 questions

What time is NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?

HNK Gorica is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica prediction, H2H and stats