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Independência vs Araguaína Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSun, 17 May 2026

Independência

Sun, 17 May 202622:00

1 : 0

Full time

Araguaína

Pre-match win probability

24.9%Independência28%Draw47.1%Araguaína

Our prediction

Araguaína

Araguaína is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independência 24.9%
  • Draw 28%
  • Araguaína 47.1%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

IndependênciaAraguaína

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X41.8%
X258.2%

Match result

Independência3.6
Draw3.2
Araguaína1.9

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance41.8%
Odds1.7

X2

Chance58.2%
Odds1.22

Independência

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.2

Araguaína

Chance47.1%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Araguaína at 1.9

IndependênciaAraguaína
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

Independência vs Araguaína: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sun, 17 May 2026

Independência meet Araguaína in the Brazil, Serie D on 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Araguaína at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independência vs Araguaína FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independência vs Araguaína?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independência vs Araguaína?

Araguaína is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.