Get Premium

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AWed, 30 Sept 2026

Independiente Medellin

WWLWD

Wed, 30 Sept 202602:05

2 : 2

Full time

Millonarios

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Independiente Medellin28.6%Draw29.5%Millonarios

Our prediction

Home · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 41.9%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Millonarios 29.5%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinMillonarios

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Independiente Medellin2.25
Draw3.3
Millonarios3.2

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Independiente Medellin

Chance41.9%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Millonarios

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.25

Independiente MedellinMillonarios
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Millonarios in the Colombia, Primera A on 30 September 2026 at 02:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios FAQs

4 questions

What time is Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

Kickoff is 02:05 on 30 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios?

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios prediction, H2H and stats