USA vs Chile Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 30 Sept 2026

USA

WLWLW

Wed, 30 Sept 202601:00

4 : 2

Full time

Chile

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

67.6%USA18.9%Draw13.5%Chile

Our prediction

Home · USA

USA vs Chile listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence67.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • USA 67.6%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Chile 13.5%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

USAChile

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X69.3%
X230.7%

Match result

USA1.4
Draw5
Chile7

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance69.3%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance30.7%
Odds2.5

USA

Chance67.6%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Chile

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.4

USAChile
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

USA vs Chile: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

USA meet Chile in the World, Friendlies on 30 September 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is USA at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

USA vs Chile FAQs

4 questions

What time is USA vs Chile?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 30 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on USA vs Chile?

USA is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

USA vs Chile prediction, H2H and stats