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Mexico vs Peru Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 30 Sept 2026

Mexico

Wed, 30 Sept 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Peru

Pre-match win probability

68.2%Mexico22.1%Draw9.8%Peru

Our prediction

Mexico

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.36
Confidence68.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 68.2%
  • Draw 22.1%
  • Peru 9.8%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoPeru

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X73.9%
X226.1%

Match result

Mexico1.36
Draw4.2
Peru9.5

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance73.9%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance26.1%
Odds3

Mexico

Chance68.2%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance22.1%
Odds4.2

Peru

Chance9.8%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mexico at 1.36

MexicoPeru
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

Mexico vs Peru: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Wed, 30 Sept 2026

Mexico meet Peru in the World, Friendlies on 30 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Peru FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs Peru?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 30 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Peru?

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs Peru prediction, H2H and stats