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Japan vs Uruguay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesThu, 24 Sept 2026

Japan

LDWDW

Thu, 24 Sept 202611:05

3 : 1

Full time

Uruguay

LDDDD

Pre-match win probability

52.9%Japan26.5%Draw20.6%Uruguay

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Japan

Japan vs Uruguay listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Japan 52.9%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Uruguay 20.6%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

JapanUruguay

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Japan1.75
Draw3.5
Uruguay4.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Japan

Chance52.9%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.5

Uruguay

Chance20.6%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

JapanUruguay
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Japan vs Uruguay: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Japan meet Uruguay in the World, Friendlies on 24 September 2026 at 11:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Japan at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Japan vs Uruguay FAQs

4 questions

What time is Japan vs Uruguay?

Kickoff is 11:05 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Japan vs Uruguay?

Japan is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Japan vs Uruguay prediction, H2H and stats