Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesThu, 24 Sept 2026

Papua New Guinea

Thu, 24 Sept 202608:00

1 : 2

Full time

New Caledonia

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Papua New Guinea26.1%Draw29.4%New Caledonia

Our prediction

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Papua New Guinea 44.5%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • New Caledonia 29.4%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

Papua New GuineaNew Caledonia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Papua New Guinea2.05
Draw3.5
New Caledonia3.1

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Papua New Guinea

Chance44.5%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

New Caledonia

Chance29.4%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Papua New Guinea at 2.05

Papua New GuineaNew Caledonia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Papua New Guinea meet New Caledonia in the World, Friendlies on 24 September 2026 at 08:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Papua New Guinea at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

Kickoff is 08:00 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

Papua New Guinea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia prediction, H2H and stats