Juventud vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Juventud

Sat, 16 May 202619:00

2 : 0

Full time

Progreso

Pre-match win probability

45.5%Juventud28.5%Draw26%Progreso

Our prediction

Juventud

Juventud is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Juventud 45.5%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Progreso 26%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

JuventudProgreso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Juventud2
Draw3.2
Progreso3.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Juventud

Chance45.5%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.2

Progreso

Chance26%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Juventud at 2

JuventudProgreso
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Juventud vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 16 May 2026

Juventud meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 16 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Juventud at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Juventud vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Juventud vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Juventud vs Progreso?

Juventud is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Juventud vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats