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Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 16 May 2026

Penarol

Sat, 16 May 202622:30

2 : 1

Full time

Liverpool Montevideo

Pre-match win probability

47.1%Penarol28.7%Draw24.2%Liverpool Montevideo

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence47.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 47.1%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Liverpool Montevideo 24.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolLiverpool Montevideo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Penarol1.95
Draw3.2
Liverpool Montevideo3.8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Penarol

Chance47.1%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.2

Liverpool Montevideo

Chance24.2%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penarol at 1.95

PenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 16 May 2026

Penarol meet Liverpool Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 16 May 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, H2H and stats