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Laagri vs Vaprus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · MeistriliigaSat, 16 May 2026

Laagri

6th in table · 47 pts

WWWWL

Sat, 16 May 202615:00

1 : 2

Full time

Vaprus

8th in table · 36 pts

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

41.1%Laagri26.6%Draw32.3%Vaprus

Our prediction

Laagri

Laagri is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence41.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Laagri 41.1%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Vaprus 32.3%

Season statistics

Meistriliiga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LaagriVaprus
Goals scored (avg)
2.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.92.4
Wins
1510
Played
3433

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Laagri6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctFC Levadia Tallinn2 – 1LaagriL
  • 21 OctLaagri3 – 1Flora TallinnW
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0VaprusW
  • 13 OctLaagri2 – 0Nõmme UnitedW
  • 10 OctKalju Nomme0 – 1LaagriW
Vaprus2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 23 OctNõmme United4 – 2VaprusL
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0VaprusL
  • 13 OctVaprus2 – 2Kalju NommeD
  • 10 OctVaprus2 – 2Trans NarvaD
  • 20 SeptFlora Tallinn3 – 2VaprusL
H2H
Head to headLaagri 2W · 3D · Vaprus 4W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 18 OctLaagri2 – 0Vaprus
  • 9 SeptVaprus3 – 2Laagri
  • 4 AprVaprus0 – 2Laagri
  • 27 SeptLaagri1 – 2Vaprus
  • 25 JulVaprus2 – 2Laagri
  • 26 AprLaagri0 – 1Vaprus

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X53.8%
X246.2%

Match result

Laagri2.2
Draw3.4
Vaprus2.8

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance53.8%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.2%
Odds1.55

Laagri

Chance41.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Vaprus

Chance32.3%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Laagri at 2.2

LaagriVaprus
Recent form70%30%
Attack62%38%
Defence78%22%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Meistriliiga

Laagri scored 2.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Laagri conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Meistriliiga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Laagri vs Vaprus: prediction & preview

Estonia · Meistriliiga · Sat, 16 May 2026

Laagri meet Vaprus in the Estonia, Meistriliiga on 16 May 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Laagri at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Laagri vs Vaprus FAQs

4 questions

What time is Laagri vs Vaprus?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Laagri vs Vaprus?

Laagri is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.