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Lecce vs Parma Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 11 Jan 2026

Lecce

17th in table · 38 pts

WLLWL

Sun, 11 Jan 202612:30

1 : 2

Full time

Parma

13th in table · 45 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

34.9%Lecce32.5%Draw32.5%Parma

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Lecce

Lecce vs Parma listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence34.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lecce 34.9%
  • Draw 32.5%
  • Parma 32.5%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LecceParma
Goals scored (avg)
10.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.7
Wins
1011
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lecce4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaL
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
Parma2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaL
  • 19 OctParma0 – 3TorinoL
  • 10 OctInter3 – 0ParmaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaW
  • 14 SeptComo2 – 1ParmaL
H2H
Head to headLecce 4W · 2D · Parma 3W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 4 OctParma0 – 1Lecce
  • 31 JanParma1 – 3Lecce
  • 21 SeptLecce2 – 2Parma
  • 1 NovLecce2 – 4Parma
  • 29 JulParma1 – 0Lecce
  • 19 MarParma0 – 0Lecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
1.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.8% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.3% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Lecce2.7
Draw2.9
Parma2.9

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Lecce

Chance34.9%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance32.5%
Odds2.9

Parma

Chance32.5%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

LecceParma
Recent form63%37%
Attack59%41%
Defence52%48%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Lecce scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Lecce conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Lecce vs Parma: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Lecce meet Parma in the Italy, Serie A on 11 January 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lecce at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lecce vs Parma FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lecce vs Parma?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lecce vs Parma?

Lecce is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.