Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 11 Jan 2026

Leon

WWLLL

Sun, 11 Jan 202602:00

2 : 1

Full time

Cruz Azul

LDDWD

Pre-match win probability

22%Leon25.8%Draw52.2%Cruz Azul

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Leon

Leon vs Cruz Azul listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leon 22%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Cruz Azul 52.2%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

LeonCruz Azul

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X38.6%
X261.4%

Match result

Leon4.33
Draw3.7
Cruz Azul1.83

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

Leon

Chance22%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Cruz Azul

Chance52.2%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.2

LeonCruz Azul
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

Leon vs Cruz Azul: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Leon meet Cruz Azul in the Mexico, Liga MX on 11 January 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cruz Azul at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leon vs Cruz Azul FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leon vs Cruz Azul?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leon vs Cruz Azul?

Cruz Azul is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leon vs Cruz Azul prediction, H2H and stats