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Leon vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 1 Mar 2026

Leon

WLLLD

Sun, 1 Mar 202602:06

2 : 1

Full time

Necaxa

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

44.7%Leon27.6%Draw27.6%Necaxa

Our prediction

Draw · Leon

Leon vs Necaxa listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leon 44.7%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Necaxa 27.6%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

LeonNecaxa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

Leon2.1
Draw3.4
Necaxa3.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.7

Leon

Chance44.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Necaxa

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

LeonNecaxa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Leon vs Necaxa: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Leon meet Necaxa in the Mexico, Liga MX on 1 March 2026 at 02:06 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leon at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leon vs Necaxa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leon vs Necaxa?

Kickoff is 02:06 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leon vs Necaxa?

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leon vs Necaxa prediction, H2H and stats