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Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 4 Oct 2026

Leones Negros UDG

WLDWD

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:00

6 : 3

Full time

Dorados

LDDWW

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Leones Negros UDG22.8%Draw18.7%Dorados

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence58.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 58.5%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Dorados 18.7%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGDorados

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59% · 1.641% · 2.3

Double chance

1X66.4%
X233.6%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG1.6
Draw4.1
Dorados5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance66.4%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.6%
Odds2.25

Leones Negros UDG

Chance58.5%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4.1

Dorados

Chance18.7%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

Leones Negros UDGDorados
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Leones Negros UDG meet Dorados in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros UDG at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados?

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados prediction, H2H and stats