Get Premium

Monarcas vs Tlaxcala Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 4 Oct 2026

Monarcas

WLDLW

Sun, 4 Oct 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Tlaxcala

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

61.3%Monarcas22.3%Draw16.3%Tlaxcala

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Monarcas

Monarcas vs Tlaxcala listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence61.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monarcas 61.3%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Tlaxcala 16.3%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonarcasTlaxcala
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monarcas5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 26 OctTapatío1 – 2MonarcasW
  • 18 OctMonarcas1 – 2CDS Tampico MaderoL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 27 SeptVenados FC2 – 1MonarcasL
  • 20 SeptMonarcas2 – 0Leones Negros UDGW
Tlaxcala0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals59.9% · 1.5740.1% · 2.35

    Double chance

    1X68%
    X232%

    Match result

    Monarcas1.53
    Draw4.2
    Tlaxcala5.75

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance68%
    Odds1.12

    X2

    Chance32%
    Odds2.38

    Monarcas

    Chance61.3%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance22.3%
    Odds4.2

    Tlaxcala

    Chance16.3%
    Odds5.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

    MonarcasTlaxcala
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model62%38%
    Overall79%21%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Monarcas scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Monarcas conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

    Monarcas vs Tlaxcala: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

    Monarcas meet Tlaxcala in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 4 October 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monarcas at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Monarcas vs Tlaxcala FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Monarcas vs Tlaxcala?

    Kickoff is 02:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Monarcas vs Tlaxcala?

    Monarcas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.