Liberia vs Mali Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liberia

Tue, 29 Sept 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Mali

Pre-match win probability

15.2%Liberia24%Draw60.8%Mali

Our prediction

Mali

Mali is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence60.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liberia 15.2%
  • Draw 24%
  • Mali 60.8%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

LiberiaMali

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X31%
X269%

Match result

Liberia6
Draw3.8
Mali1.5

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance31%
Odds2.4

X2

Chance69%
Odds1.08

Liberia

Chance15.2%
Odds6

Draw

Chance24%
Odds3.8

Mali

Chance60.8%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mali at 1.5

LiberiaMali
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall20%80%

Liberia vs Mali: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Liberia meet Mali in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mali at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liberia vs Mali FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liberia vs Mali?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liberia vs Mali?

Mali is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liberia vs Mali prediction, H2H and stats