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Lorient vs Metz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Lorient

WDWWD

Sun, 4 Jan 202617:15

1 : 1

Full time

Metz

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

51.8%Lorient26.3%Draw21.9%Metz

Our prediction

Home · Lorient

Lorient vs Metz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence51.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lorient 51.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Metz 21.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LorientMetz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

Lorient1.83
Draw3.6
Metz4.33

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

Lorient

Chance51.8%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Metz

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.83

LorientMetz
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Lorient vs Metz: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Lorient meet Metz in the France, Ligue 1 on 4 January 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lorient at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lorient vs Metz FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lorient vs Metz?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lorient vs Metz?

Lorient is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lorient vs Metz prediction, H2H and stats