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Marseille vs Nantes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Marseille

WWWLD

Sun, 4 Jan 202615:00

0 : 2

Full time

Nantes

WLLLD

Pre-match win probability

76.6%Marseille14.7%Draw8.7%Nantes

Our prediction

Home · Marseille

Marseille vs Nantes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence76.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 76.6%
  • Draw 14.7%
  • Nantes 8.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleNantes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X79.2%
X220.8%

Match result

Marseille1.25
Draw6.5
Nantes11

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance79.2%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance20.8%
Odds4

Marseille

Chance76.6%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance14.7%
Odds6.5

Nantes

Chance8.7%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.25

MarseilleNantes
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Marseille vs Nantes: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Marseille meet Nantes in the France, Ligue 1 on 4 January 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 76.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Marseille vs Nantes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Marseille vs Nantes?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Marseille vs Nantes?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 76.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Marseille vs Nantes prediction, H2H and stats