Luton vs Exeter City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League OneTue, 17 Mar 2026

Luton

WDLWD

Tue, 17 Mar 202620:45

3 : 2

Full time

Exeter City

LLLDL

Pre-match win probability

57.3%Luton23.2%Draw19.5%Exeter City

Our prediction

Home · Luton

Luton vs Exeter City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence57.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Luton 57.3%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Exeter City 19.5%

Season statistics

League One · highlighted side is stronger

LutonExeter City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Luton1.62
Draw4
Exeter City4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Luton

Chance57.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4

Exeter City

Chance19.5%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.62

LutonExeter City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Luton vs Exeter City: prediction & preview

England · League One · Tue, 17 Mar 2026

Luton meet Exeter City in the England, League One on 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Luton at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Luton vs Exeter City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Luton vs Exeter City?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 17 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Luton vs Exeter City?

Luton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Luton vs Exeter City prediction, H2H and stats