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Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationFri, 25 Sept 2026

Malawi

Fri, 25 Sept 202617:00

2 : 1

Full time

South Sudan

Pre-match win probability

56.2%Malawi28.1%Draw15.6%South Sudan

Our prediction

Malawi

Malawi is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.6
Confidence56.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malawi 56.2%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • South Sudan 15.6%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

MalawiSouth Sudan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X66.2%
X233.8%

Match result

Malawi1.6
Draw3.2
South Sudan5.75

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance66.2%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance33.8%
Odds2.15

Malawi

Chance56.2%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

South Sudan

Chance15.6%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Malawi at 1.6

MalawiSouth Sudan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Malawi vs South Sudan: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Malawi meet South Sudan in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malawi at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malawi vs South Sudan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malawi vs South Sudan?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malawi vs South Sudan?

Malawi is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malawi vs South Sudan prediction, H2H and stats