Get Premium

Niger vs Lesotho Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationFri, 25 Sept 2026

Niger

3rd in table · 3 pts

Fri, 25 Sept 202616:00

2 : 1

Full time

Lesotho

4th in table · 0 pts

DWDLL

Pre-match win probability

53.7%Niger25.6%Draw20.7%Lesotho

Our prediction

Niger

Niger is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.67
Confidence53.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Niger 53.7%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Lesotho 20.7%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

NigerLesotho
Goals scored (avg)
–0.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.2
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Niger0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Lesotho2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 29 SeptLesotho0 – 2MoroccoL
    • 7 JunKenya4 – 0LesothoL
    • 4 JunLesotho1 – 1KenyaD
    • 29 MarLesotho2 – 1SeychellesW
    • 26 MarSeychelles0 – 0LesothoD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
    3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X63.1%
    X236.9%

    Match result

    Niger1.67
    Draw3.5
    Lesotho4.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance63.1%
    Odds1.17

    X2

    Chance36.9%
    Odds2

    Niger

    Chance53.7%
    Odds1.67

    Draw

    Chance25.6%
    Odds3.5

    Lesotho

    Chance20.7%
    Odds4.33

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Niger at 1.67

    NigerLesotho
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence36%64%
    Goals model63%37%
    Overall72%28%

    Trends

    Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    Lesotho scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    Lesotho conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Niger vs Lesotho: prediction & preview

    World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

    Niger meet Lesotho in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 September 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Niger at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Niger vs Lesotho FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Niger vs Lesotho?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Niger vs Lesotho?

    Niger is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.