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Mali vs Cape Verde Islands Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationFri, 25 Sept 2026

Mali

LDLWD

Fri, 25 Sept 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Cape Verde Islands

DDDLL

Pre-match win probability

45.5%Mali31.7%Draw22.8%Cape Verde Islands

Our prediction

Mali

Mali is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mali 45.5%
  • Draw 31.7%
  • Cape Verde Islands 22.8%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 7 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MaliCape Verde Islands
Goals scored (avg)
0.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mali1W 4D 2L in last 7
  • 4 OctMorocco1 – 1MaliD
  • 29 SeptLiberia0 – 1MaliW
  • 4 JunIran2 – 0MaliL
  • 31 MarRussia0 – 0MaliD
  • 9 JanMali0 – 1SenegalL
Cape Verde Islands2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 29 SeptCape Verde Islands1 – 2RwandaL
  • 3 JulArgentina3 – 2Cape Verde IslandsL
  • 27 JunCape Verde Islands0 – 0Saudi ArabiaD
  • 21 JunUruguay2 – 2Cape Verde IslandsD
  • 15 JunSpain0 – 0Cape Verde IslandsD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.1% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.6% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Mali1.95
Draw2.8
Cape Verde Islands3.9

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.7

Mali

Chance45.5%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance31.7%
Odds2.8

Cape Verde Islands

Chance22.8%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mali at 1.95

MaliCape Verde Islands
Recent form41%59%
Attack20%80%
Defence57%43%
Goals model20%80%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mali scored 0.4 per game in the last 7.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Mali conceded 0.7 per game in the last 7.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 7.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 7.

Mali vs Cape Verde Islands: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Mali meet Cape Verde Islands in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mali at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mali vs Cape Verde Islands FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?

Mali is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.