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Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 4 Jan 2026

Manchester City

DWWWW

Sun, 4 Jan 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Chelsea

DLDWW

Pre-match win probability

61.3%Manchester City20.8%Draw17.9%Chelsea

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Manchester City

Manchester City vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence61.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 61.3%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Chelsea 17.9%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityChelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Manchester City1.53
Draw4.5
Chelsea5.25

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Manchester City

Chance61.3%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

Chelsea

Chance17.9%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

Manchester CityChelsea
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Manchester City vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Manchester City meet Chelsea in the England, Premier League on 4 January 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Chelsea?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Chelsea?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and stats