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Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSun, 11 Jan 2026

Manchester United

DDDWL

Sun, 11 Jan 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Brighton

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

54.6%Manchester United21.8%Draw23.6%Brighton

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Manchester United

Manchester United vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence54.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester United 54.6%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Brighton 23.6%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester UnitedBrighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.8% · 213.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X59.9%
X240.1%

Match result

Manchester United1.73
Draw4.33
Brighton4

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance59.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance40.1%
Odds1.91

Manchester United

Chance54.6%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Brighton

Chance23.6%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.91

Manchester UnitedBrighton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Manchester United vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Manchester United meet Brighton in the England, FA Cup on 11 January 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester United at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester United vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester United vs Brighton?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester United vs Brighton?

Manchester United is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester United vs Brighton prediction, H2H and stats