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Maritimo vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Maritimo

Sat, 5 Sept 202618:00

0 : 3

Full time

Benfica

Pre-match win probability

6.2%Maritimo14.4%Draw79.4%Benfica

Our prediction

Benfica

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.18
Confidence79.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Maritimo 6.2%
  • Draw 14.4%
  • Benfica 79.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MaritimoBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X19.2%
X280.8%

Match result

Maritimo15
Draw6.5
Benfica1.18

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance19.2%
Odds4.33

X2

Chance80.8%
Odds1.03

Maritimo

Chance6.2%
Odds15

Draw

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

Benfica

Chance79.4%
Odds1.18

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Benfica at 1.18

MaritimoBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall7%93%

Maritimo vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Maritimo meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Maritimo vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Maritimo vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Maritimo vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Maritimo vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats