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Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Sporting CP

WWLLW

Sat, 5 Sept 202620:30

2 : 0

Full time

Nacional

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

81.4%Sporting CP12.4%Draw6.2%Nacional

Our prediction

Sporting CP

Sporting CP is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.14
Confidence81.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sporting CP 81.4%
  • Draw 12.4%
  • Nacional 6.2%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sporting CPNacional
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sporting CP5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 27 OctSporting CP2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 25 OctSporting CP1 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 21 OctSporting CP2 – 3Lask LinzL
  • 13 OctLens0 – 2Sporting CPW
  • 9 OctSC Braga1 – 3Sporting CPW
Nacional2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaW
  • 17 OctSanjoanense1 – 0NacionalL
  • 11 OctRio Ave3 – 2NacionalL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoL
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaL
H2H
Head to headSporting CP 9W · 0D · Nacional 0W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 1 FebSporting CP2 – 1Nacional
  • 23 AugNacional1 – 4Sporting CP
  • 25 JanSporting CP2 – 0Nacional
  • 29 OctSporting CP3 – 1Nacional
  • 17 AugNacional1 – 6Sporting CP
  • 1 MaySporting CP2 – 0Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X84.2%
X215.8%

Match result

Sporting CP1.14
Draw7.5
Nacional15

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance84.2%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance15.8%
Odds5.5

Sporting CP

Chance81.4%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance12.4%
Odds7.5

Nacional

Chance6.2%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Sporting CP at 1.14

Sporting CPNacional
Recent form71%29%
Attack67%33%
Defence62%38%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall93%7%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Sporting CP scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Sporting CP conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Sporting CP vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Sporting CP meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 5 September 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sporting CP at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 81.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sporting CP vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sporting CP vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sporting CP vs Nacional?

Sporting CP is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 81.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.