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Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 11 Jan 2026

Melbourne City

WDLDL

Sun, 11 Jan 202607:00

0 : 1

Full time

Newcastle Jets

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

55.4%Melbourne City21.3%Draw23.4%Newcastle Jets

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne City

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence55.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne City 55.4%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Newcastle Jets 23.4%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne CityNewcastle Jets

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X62.7%
X237.3%

Match result

Melbourne City1.73
Draw4.5
Newcastle Jets4.1

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance62.7%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.3%
Odds2.05

Melbourne City

Chance55.4%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.5

Newcastle Jets

Chance23.4%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

Melbourne CityNewcastle Jets
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Melbourne City meet Newcastle Jets in the Australia, A-League on 11 January 2026 at 07:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets?

Kickoff is 07:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets?

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets prediction, H2H and stats