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Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 11 Jan 2026

Wellington Phoenix

WLWLL

Sun, 11 Jan 202603:00

2 : 2

Full time

Adelaide United

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

40.4%Wellington Phoenix24.4%Draw35.2%Adelaide United

Our prediction

Draw · Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence40.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wellington Phoenix 40.4%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Adelaide United 35.2%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Wellington PhoenixAdelaide United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Wellington Phoenix2.35
Draw3.9
Adelaide United2.7

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.57

Wellington Phoenix

Chance40.4%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Adelaide United

Chance35.2%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.9

Wellington PhoenixAdelaide United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Wellington Phoenix meet Adelaide United in the Australia, A-League on 11 January 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Wellington Phoenix at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?

Wellington Phoenix is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United prediction, H2H and stats