Get Premium

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 5 Apr 2026

Melbourne Victory

WWDDW

Sun, 5 Apr 202606:00

0 : 1

Full time

Wellington Phoenix

WWDLL

Pre-match win probability

65.3%Melbourne Victory18.9%Draw15.8%Wellington Phoenix

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence65.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Melbourne Victory 65.3%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Wellington Phoenix 15.8%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Melbourne Victory1.45
Draw5
Wellington Phoenix6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Melbourne Victory

Chance65.3%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Wellington Phoenix

Chance15.8%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Melbourne Victory meet Wellington Phoenix in the Australia, A-League on 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix FAQs

4 questions

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix prediction, H2H and stats