Mexico vs Colombia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSun, 27 Sept 2026

Mexico

LWWWW

Sun, 27 Sept 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Colombia

DWDWW

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Mexico27.2%Draw38.5%Colombia

Our prediction

Draw · Mexico

Mexico vs Colombia listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence38.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 34.3%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Colombia 38.5%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoColombia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Mexico2.7
Draw3.4
Colombia2.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Mexico

Chance34.3%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.4

Colombia

Chance38.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

MexicoColombia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Mexico vs Colombia: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Mexico meet Colombia in the World, Friendlies on 27 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Colombia at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Colombia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs Colombia?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Colombia?

Colombia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs Colombia prediction, H2H and stats