Vanuatu vs New Caledonia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSun, 27 Sept 2026

Vanuatu

Sun, 27 Sept 202605:00

4 : 1

Full time

New Caledonia

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Vanuatu25.6%Draw39.9%New Caledonia

Our prediction

New Caledonia

New Caledonia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vanuatu 34.5%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • New Caledonia 39.9%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

VanuatuNew Caledonia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals55.3% · 1.744.7% · 2.1

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Vanuatu2.6
Draw3.5
New Caledonia2.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Vanuatu

Chance34.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

New Caledonia

Chance39.9%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: New Caledonia at 2.25

VanuatuNew Caledonia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Vanuatu meet New Caledonia in the World, Friendlies on 27 September 2026 at 05:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is New Caledonia at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

Kickoff is 05:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

New Caledonia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia prediction, H2H and stats