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Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 15 Oct 2025

Mexico

Wed, 15 Oct 202503:30

1 : 1

Full time

Ecuador

Pre-match win probability

40.3%Mexico29.7%Draw30%Ecuador

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Mexico

Mexico vs Ecuador listed tip from the board.

Odds1.63
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 40.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Ecuador 30%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoEcuador

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.022.8% · 8.2
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.328% · 2.88
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2213.1% · 1.76
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7519.4% · 1.19

Both teams to score

Yes50.5%
No49.5%

Double chance

1X54%
X246%

Match result

Mexico2.43
Draw3.3
Ecuador3.26

Both teams to score

Yes50.5% · 1.83
No49.5% · 1.87

1X

Chance54%
Odds1.39

X2

Chance46%
Odds1.63

Mexico

Chance40.3%
Odds2.43

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.3

Ecuador

Chance30%
Odds3.26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.63

MexicoEcuador
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Mexico vs Ecuador: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Wed, 15 Oct 2025

Mexico meet Ecuador in the World, Friendlies on 15 October 2025 at 03:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 2.43. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.76, about 55.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Ecuador FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs Ecuador?

Kickoff is 03:30 on 15 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Ecuador?

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.43. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.22 and under 2.5 is 1.76.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, H2H and stats