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USA vs Australia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesWed, 15 Oct 2025

USA

Wed, 15 Oct 202502:00

2 : 1

Full time

Australia

Pre-match win probability

55.7%USA24.5%Draw19.7%Australia

Our prediction

USA

USA is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.76
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • USA 55.7%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Australia 19.7%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

USAAustralia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%2.5% · 11.9
1.5 goals24.5% · 1.238.8% · 3.42
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.9615.4% · 1.96
3.5 goals9.8% · 3.0823.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.2%
No48.8%

Double chance

1X64.4%
X235.6%

Match result

USA1.76
Draw4
Australia4.97

Both teams to score

Yes51.2% · 1.81
No48.8% · 1.9

1X

Chance64.4%
Odds1.21

X2

Chance35.6%
Odds2.19

USA

Chance55.7%
Odds1.76

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds4

Australia

Chance19.7%
Odds4.97

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: USA at 1.76

USAAustralia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

USA vs Australia: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Wed, 15 Oct 2025

USA meet Australia in the World, Friendlies on 15 October 2025 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is USA at 1.76. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.96, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.81.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

USA vs Australia FAQs

4 questions

What time is USA vs Australia?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 15 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on USA vs Australia?

USA is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.76. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.96 and under 2.5 is 1.96.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.81. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

USA vs Australia prediction, H2H and stats