Mexico vs England Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupMon, 6 Jul 2026

Mexico

WWWWW

Mon, 6 Jul 202602:00

2 : 3

Full time

England

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

31.6%Mexico30.5%Draw37.9%England

Our prediction

1X · Mexico

Mexico vs England listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence37.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 31.6%
  • Draw 30.5%
  • England 37.9%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoEngland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Mexico3
Draw3.1
England2.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Mexico

Chance31.6%
Odds3

Draw

Chance30.5%
Odds3.1

England

Chance37.9%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.53

MexicoEngland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Mexico vs England: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Mon, 6 Jul 2026

Mexico meet England in the World, World Cup on 6 July 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is England at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs England FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs England?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 6 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs England?

England is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Mexico vs England prediction, H2H and stats