Portugal vs Spain Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupMon, 6 Jul 2026

Portugal

WDWDW

Mon, 6 Jul 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Spain

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

23.2%Portugal27.1%Draw49.7%Spain

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Portugal

Portugal vs Spain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence49.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 23.2%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Spain 49.7%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalSpain

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X40%
X260%

Match result

Portugal4.1
Draw3.5
Spain1.91

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance40%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance60%
Odds1.22

Portugal

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Spain

Chance49.7%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

PortugalSpain
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Portugal vs Spain: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Mon, 6 Jul 2026

Portugal meet Spain in the World, World Cup on 6 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portugal vs Spain FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portugal vs Spain?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 6 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portugal vs Spain?

Spain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portugal vs Spain prediction, H2H and stats