Get Premium

Mexico vs Iceland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesThu, 26 Feb 2026

Mexico

LDDLL

Thu, 26 Feb 202603:00

4 : 0

Full time

Iceland

LDWWD

Pre-match win probability

74.4%Mexico17.3%Draw8.3%Iceland

Our prediction

Mexico

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.22
Confidence74.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Mexico 74.4%
  • Draw 17.3%
  • Iceland 8.3%

Season statistics

Friendlies · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MexicoIceland
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Mexico5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 7 OctMexico0 – 2ChileL
  • 4 OctUSA3 – 0MexicoL
  • 30 SeptMexico1 – 1PeruD
  • 27 SeptMexico1 – 1ColombiaD
  • 6 JulMexico2 – 3EnglandL
Iceland2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 6 OctEstonia0 – 0IcelandD
  • 3 OctIceland3 – 0BulgariaW
  • 29 SeptLuxembourg0 – 3IcelandW
  • 26 SeptIceland1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 10 JunArgentina3 – 0IcelandL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15% · 1.5710% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X78.3%
X221.7%

Match result

Mexico1.22
Draw5.25
Iceland11

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance78.3%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance21.7%
Odds3.75

Mexico

Chance74.4%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance17.3%
Odds5.25

Iceland

Chance8.3%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mexico at 1.22

MexicoIceland
Recent form63%37%
Attack61%39%
Defence50%50%
Goals model61%39%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · Friendlies

Mexico scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Friendlies

Mexico conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Friendlies

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Friendlies

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Mexico vs Iceland: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Mexico meet Iceland in the World, Friendlies on 26 February 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mexico at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Mexico vs Iceland FAQs

4 questions

What time is Mexico vs Iceland?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 26 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Mexico vs Iceland?

Mexico is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.