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Monaco vs Lorient Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Monaco

7th in table · 54 pts

DWLWD

Fri, 16 Jan 202619:00

1 : 3

Full time

Lorient

9th in table · 45 pts

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

57.5%Monaco22.6%Draw20%Lorient

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Monaco

Monaco vs Lorient listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence57.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 57.5%
  • Draw 22.6%
  • Lorient 20%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoLorient
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.2
Wins
1611
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monaco6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoL
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
Lorient3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctAngers0 – 0LorientD
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCW
  • 19 SeptLe Mans2 – 1LorientL
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
H2H
Head to headMonaco 1W · 5D · Lorient 3W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0Monaco
  • 27 SeptLorient3 – 1Monaco
  • 17 MarMonaco2 – 2Lorient
  • 17 SeptLorient2 – 2Monaco
  • 16 AprMonaco3 – 1Lorient
  • 11 JanLorient2 – 2Monaco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X65.1%
X234.9%

Match result

Monaco1.65
Draw4.2
Lorient4.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance65.1%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance34.9%
Odds2.2

Monaco

Chance57.5%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance22.6%
Odds4.2

Lorient

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.2

MonacoLorient
Recent form64%36%
Attack65%35%
Defence55%45%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Monaco vs Lorient: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Monaco meet Lorient in the France, Ligue 1 on 16 January 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Lorient FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monaco vs Lorient?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monaco vs Lorient?

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.