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Paris Saint Germain vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Paris Saint Germain

LDWWD

Fri, 16 Jan 202621:00

3 : 0

Full time

Lille

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

74.4%Paris Saint Germain15.1%Draw10.5%Lille

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Lille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence74.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Paris Saint Germain 74.4%
  • Draw 15.1%
  • Lille 10.5%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Paris Saint GermainLille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X77.8%
X222.2%

Match result

Paris Saint Germain1.27
Draw6.25
Lille9

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance77.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance22.2%
Odds3.75

Paris Saint Germain

Chance74.4%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance15.1%
Odds6.25

Lille

Chance10.5%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

Paris Saint GermainLille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Paris Saint Germain vs Lille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Paris Saint Germain meet Lille in the France, Ligue 1 on 16 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 70.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Paris Saint Germain vs Lille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Lille?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 16 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Paris Saint Germain vs Lille?

Paris Saint Germain is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Paris Saint Germain vs Lille prediction, H2H and stats