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Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 9 Aug 2026

Monterey Bay

LLLLL

Sun, 9 Aug 202603:00

2 : 5

Full time

New Mexico United

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Monterey Bay26.3%Draw33.1%New Mexico United

Our prediction

Away · Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United listed tip from the board.

Odds2.7
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monterey Bay 40.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • New Mexico United 33.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X53.3%
X246.7%

Match result

Monterey Bay2.2
Draw3.4
New Mexico United2.7

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance53.3%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.7%
Odds1.55

Monterey Bay

Chance40.6%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

New Mexico United

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.7

Monterey BayNew Mexico United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

Monterey Bay meet New Mexico United in the USA, USL Championship on 9 August 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monterey Bay at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?

Monterey Bay is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United prediction, H2H and stats