Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Moreirense

WDLDD

Sun, 11 Jan 202619:00

1 : 0

Full time

Tondela

WLLLW

Pre-match win probability

47%Moreirense28.9%Draw24.1%Tondela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Moreirense

Moreirense vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 47%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Tondela 24.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Moreirense2
Draw3.25
Tondela3.9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Moreirense

Chance47%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

Tondela

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.25

MoreirenseTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Moreirense vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Moreirense meet Tondela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 11 January 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Moreirense at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Moreirense vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Moreirense vs Tondela?

Moreirense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Moreirense vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats