Get Premium

Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 11 Jan 2026

Nacional

LDWLL

Sun, 11 Jan 202616:30

3 : 3

Full time

Santa Clara

LDDLW

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Nacional32.2%Draw33.3%Santa Clara

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Nacional

Nacional vs Santa Clara listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence34.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nacional 34.5%
  • Draw 32.2%
  • Santa Clara 33.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

NacionalSanta Clara

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Nacional2.7
Draw2.9
Santa Clara2.8

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

Nacional

Chance34.5%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance32.2%
Odds2.9

Santa Clara

Chance33.3%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.44

NacionalSanta Clara
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Nacional vs Santa Clara: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Nacional meet Santa Clara in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 11 January 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Nacional at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nacional vs Santa Clara FAQs

4 questions

What time is Nacional vs Santa Clara?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Nacional vs Santa Clara?

Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction, H2H and stats