Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Super CupThu, 18 Dec 2025

Napoli

Thu, 18 Dec 202520:00

2 : 0

Full time

AC Milan

Pre-match win probability

32.9%Napoli31.8%Draw35.3%AC Milan

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds2.7
Confidence35.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 32.9%
  • Draw 31.8%
  • AC Milan 35.3%

Season statistics

Super Cup · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083.2% · 7.5
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.3319.5% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Napoli2.9
Draw3
AC Milan2.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.4

Napoli

Chance32.9%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance31.8%
Odds3

AC Milan

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.7

NapoliAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Napoli vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Super Cup · Thu, 18 Dec 2025

Napoli meet AC Milan in the Italy, Super Cup on 18 December 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats