Napoli vs Bologna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 11 May 2026

Napoli

DWLDW

Mon, 11 May 202619:45

2 : 3

Full time

Bologna

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

61.8%Napoli23.1%Draw15.1%Bologna

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Napoli

Napoli vs Bologna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence61.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 61.8%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Bologna 15.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliBologna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Napoli1.53
Draw4.1
Bologna6.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Napoli

Chance61.8%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

Bologna

Chance15.1%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

NapoliBologna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Napoli vs Bologna: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 11 May 2026

Napoli meet Bologna in the Italy, Serie A on 11 May 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Napoli vs Bologna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Napoli vs Bologna?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Napoli vs Bologna?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Napoli vs Bologna prediction, H2H and stats